Olivia building
Predicts dealable transactions (wholesale / fix-flip) for clients — not just any sale · funnel decomposition · design phase
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lift @top-1%
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AUC
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counties
design
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Overview. In plain terms: Olivia tells an investor client which properties are likely to become a deal they can actually win — not just any home that sells. Olivia identifies which properties will become a dealable transaction for an investor client (wholesale, fix-flip) — narrower than "any sale." Spine = funnel decomposition:
P(dealable) = P(transacts) × P(dealable | transacts). Stage A (transacts) leans on abundant deed labels (the generic transact signal, cf. Apollo); Stage B (dealable | transacts) trains on the client's closed deals as positives under positive-unlabeled learning, corrected with a true prior. A standing value-audit harness proves the as-of-T0 ranked list recalls real deals vs Alpha and the market base rate; a cadence layer sequences each client's monthly list. Gated upfront by a one-time data audit that freezes the label spec.Distinct from Apollo, which predicts generic property sale (replaces Alpha). Apollo's "will it transact" signal is Olivia's Stage A; Olivia adds the "is it a deal our client can win" layer on top. Built nationwide on the shared cross-model platform — see the Framework.
Design references
Framework →
The dealable-transaction framework — funnel decomposition, PU learning, value-audit, cadence; the cross-model platform Olivia is built on.
Investor-deal criteria (#12) →
What makes a past transaction a dealable investor deal — the seed of the label.
Deal-pattern analysis (#13) →
Deed-signature patterns (LLC buyer, below-AVM, distress, quick flip) used as features in Stage B.
Deal oracle v1 (#18) →
Early ground-truth oracle for dealable transactions.
Design phase. Spec in progress (as of 2026-06-05). How-it-works / pipeline / model-card / rules pages land as the build does — Olivia runs the per-model spine (Modeling → Delivery) on the shared platform.